Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Rask 47.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 57.7%
Defensive zone
Rowney 61.7%
Neutral zone
Rowney 56.8%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Rowney
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Rowney
Rask
Last 6: Rowney 5-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
0
Rowney
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
46.6% (397)
+3.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.1% (31)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
50.0% (2)
-4.3%
On power play, Rowney has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Rask is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Rowney
Rask
Home
51.0% (143)
50.0% (202)
Away
48.0% (204)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Rowney
Rask
P1
49.6%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
43.2%
P3
50.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |