Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 62.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Rowney
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rowney
Smith
Last 5: Rowney 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
0
Rowney
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.2% (342)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
45.3% (985)
+3.3%
On power play, Smith has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Rowney
Smith
Home
50.4% (577)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.9% (560)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Rowney
Smith
P1
50.1%
49.9%
P2
47.9%
50.0%
P3
49.3%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |