Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 48.9% vs Spezza 53.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 55.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 58.5%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 55.8%
Result
Carter Verhaeghe favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Verhaeghe
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Verhaeghe
Spezza
Last 5: Verhaeghe 2-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Verhaeghe
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Verhaeghe
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (29)
52.6% (346)
-4.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.0% (41)
-61.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Verhaeghe is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Spezza
Home
69.2% (13)
56.0% (175)
Away
27.8% (18)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Spezza
P1
50.0%
56.8%
P2
44.4%
54.3%
P3
42.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
75.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Carter Verhaeghe |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |