Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Cizikas 49.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 88.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 71.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Henrique
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Henrique
Cizikas
Last 7: Henrique 6-1 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Cizikas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Henrique
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
50.9% (750)
-6.4%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
30.0% (10)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
42.2% (199)
+1.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Cizikas is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cizikas
Home
46.9% (680)
48.1% (466)
Away
42.5% (701)
49.7% (493)
By Period
Henrique
Cizikas
P1
43.0%
51.5%
P2
46.2%
46.5%
P3
46.2%
49.3%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |