Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Cizikas 53.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 92.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 56.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 74.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Tuch
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Cizikas
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Tuch
Cizikas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Tuch
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
56.4% (757)
-12.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
41.2% (17)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.6% (165)
-7.3%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Tuch
Cizikas
Home
46.9% (32)
55.0% (473)
Away
39.5% (43)
51.7% (466)
By Period
Tuch
Cizikas
P1
56.3%
54.9%
P2
35.5%
50.8%
P3
27.3%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |