Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Cizikas 52.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 56.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 66.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Czarnik
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Czarnik
Cizikas
Last 5: Czarnik 3-2 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
0
Czarnik
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Czarnik
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
53.7% (525)
-5.5%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-20.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Czarnik is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Czarnik shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Cizikas
Home
48.6% (105)
58.6% (307)
Away
49.5% (99)
48.7% (339)
By Period
Czarnik
Cizikas
P1
53.6%
56.7%
P2
47.1%
49.8%
P3
46.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |