Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Paquette 46.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 62.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 51.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 55.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Cizikas
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Paquette
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
2
Cizikas
Paquette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Paquette
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Cizikas
Paquette
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
49.0% (347)
+1.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
28.6% (7)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
35.0% (80)
+8.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Cizikas is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Cizikas shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paquette
Home
49.8% (486)
42.3% (182)
Away
49.4% (360)
48.8% (252)
By Period
Cizikas
Paquette
P1
50.6%
51.3%
P2
46.0%
46.1%
P3
52.4%
40.3%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.6%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |