Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Wagner 49.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Wagner 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 51.2%
Neutral zone
Wagner 52.7%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Cizikas
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Cizikas
Wagner
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Wagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Wagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
5
Cizikas
Wagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
50.8% (1,243)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
40.0% (20)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
42.0% (307)
+2.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Wagner
Home
53.7% (5,498)
49.8% (817)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Cizikas
Wagner
P1
53.0%
48.6%
P2
51.1%
48.6%
P3
51.7%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |