Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.0% vs Wagner 52.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 54.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cizikas
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Wagner
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Wagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
4
Cizikas
Wagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (750)
55.4% (258)
-4.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
0.0% (2)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (199)
35.7% (14)
+6.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Cizikas is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Wagner
Home
48.1% (466)
56.7% (120)
Away
49.7% (493)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Cizikas
Wagner
P1
51.5%
53.6%
P2
46.5%
53.7%
P3
49.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.9%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |