Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs McCormick 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 57.6%
Defensive zone
McCormick 70.5%
Neutral zone
McCormick 66.9%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Cizikas
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
McCormick
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
3
Cizikas
McCormick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
McCormick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
53.6% (196)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
41.3% (92)
+8.2%
On power play, McCormick has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots right. Cizikas is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Cizikas shoots left. McCormick is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Cizikas
McCormick
Home
56.5% (446)
52.2% (161)
Away
47.4% (409)
47.4% (133)
By Period
Cizikas
McCormick
P1
57.0%
48.5%
P2
51.0%
46.7%
P3
48.7%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |