Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.6% vs Staal 51.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Cizikas
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cizikas
Staal
Last 8: Cizikas 4-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Cizikas
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (252)
52.4% (804)
+0.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.5% (157)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (21)
41.5% (53)
+10.9%
On power play, Staal has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Cizikas shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Staal
Home
57.7% (149)
52.7% (490)
Away
45.7% (127)
51.3% (524)
By Period
Cizikas
Staal
P1
50.6%
56.4%
P2
51.6%
52.4%
P3
53.5%
47.4%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |