Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Quillan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Quillan 47.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 75.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 82.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Cizikas
Quillan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Quillan
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Quillan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Quillan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Quillan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Quillan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Quillan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
43.4% (76)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.0% (4)
-2.4%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Quillan shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Quillan is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Quillan
Home
53.3% (270)
49.0% (49)
Away
54.8% (299)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Cizikas
Quillan
P1
57.2%
39.4%
P2
56.3%
36.8%
P3
49.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Quillan
42.0%▼
43.8%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |