Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Benn 54.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 82.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 84.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Cizikas
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cizikas
Benn
Last 8: Cizikas 6-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Benn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
54.5% (299)
+0.7%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
59.2% (103)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
57.1% (35)
-8.1%
On power play, Benn has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Cizikas shoots left. Benn is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Benn
Home
55.5% (353)
57.8% (223)
Away
51.3% (335)
53.7% (214)
By Period
Cizikas
Benn
P1
53.4%
52.3%
P2
51.4%
56.6%
P3
55.8%
57.2%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
62.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |