Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 48.5% vs Smithson 55.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 75.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 76.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Cizikas
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Cizikas
Smithson
Last 9: Cizikas 1-8 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
1
Cizikas
Smithson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
4
Cizikas
Smithson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
3
Cizikas
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (775)
59.4% (175)
-8.4%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
66.7% (3)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (206)
52.6% (38)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Cizikas is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Cizikas shoots left. Smithson is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Smithson
Home
52.7% (490)
63.2% (106)
Away
44.3% (521)
53.6% (110)
By Period
Cizikas
Smithson
P1
46.6%
69.6%
P2
47.5%
48.3%
P3
51.1%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.4%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |