Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 54.0%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Jokinen 52.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 73.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.1%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Cizikas
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Jokinen
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Cizikas
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Cizikas
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
55.1% (147)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
38.1% (21)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
63.2% (19)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Cizikas shoots left. Jokinen is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Jokinen
Home
55.1% (448)
53.7% (82)
Away
51.0% (443)
54.3% (105)
By Period
Cizikas
Jokinen
P1
51.7%
52.4%
P2
53.1%
54.2%
P3
54.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |