Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Eller 55.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Cizikas
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cizikas
Eller
Last 8: Cizikas 6-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
2
Cizikas
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
56.5% (434)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
56.5% (46)
-8.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Eller
Home
53.3% (270)
53.1% (211)
Away
54.8% (299)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Cizikas
Eller
P1
57.2%
55.4%
P2
56.3%
58.1%
P3
49.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |