Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 54.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Cizikas
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Cizikas
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Cizikas
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
55.9% (835)
-1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.8% (228)
+38.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.0% (40)
-2.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Draisaitl
Home
53.3% (270)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.8% (299)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Cizikas
Draisaitl
P1
57.2%
55.8%
P2
56.3%
55.7%
P3
49.5%
59.0%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |