Casey Cizikas vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.0% vs Grigorenko 44.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 86.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 72.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Cizikas
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Grigorenko
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Grigorenko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
2
Cizikas
Grigorenko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (750)
43.4% (311)
+7.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
50.0% (8)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (199)
40.0% (30)
+2.2%
On power play, Grigorenko has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Cizikas is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Cizikas shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Grigorenko
Home
48.1% (466)
44.8% (172)
Away
49.7% (493)
41.8% (177)
By Period
Cizikas
Grigorenko
P1
51.5%
36.6%
P2
46.5%
51.8%
P3
49.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.9%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |