Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Thompson 52.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cizikas
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
5
Cizikas
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
54.8% (135)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
47.9% (1,381)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
53.7% (5,498)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
53.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
52.9%
P3
51.7%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |