Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.1% vs Cousins 47.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 84.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.0%
Neutral zone
Cousins 69.9%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Cizikas
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Cousins
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cousins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Cizikas
Cousins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
3
Cizikas
Cousins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (815)
47.0% (477)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
45.2% (42)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (188)
0.0% (1)
+44.7%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Cizikas is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Cizikas shoots left. Cousins is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cousins
Home
49.3% (477)
48.3% (234)
Away
48.9% (536)
45.5% (286)
By Period
Cizikas
Cousins
P1
49.3%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
43.5%
P3
45.7%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.1%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |