Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.8% vs Elias 42.7% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 54.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 76.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Cizikas
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Cizikas
Elias
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
5
Cizikas
Elias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
3
Cizikas
Elias
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
5
Cizikas
Elias
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,814)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.1%
Power Play
54.9% (175)
48.4% (405)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,890)
36.0% (367)
+8.3%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Cizikas is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,042).
Cizikas shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Elias
Home
53.6% (5,448)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
50.1% (5,432)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Cizikas
Elias
P1
52.9%
41.1%
P2
51.1%
43.1%
P3
51.6%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
51.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2014 | OT | 02:28 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |