Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Elias 40.5% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 68.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 65.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 69.2%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Cizikas
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cizikas
Elias
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Cizikas
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Cizikas
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
39.3% (550)
+13.1%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
50.0% (60)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
27.0% (63)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Elias
Home
56.5% (446)
39.1% (335)
Away
47.4% (409)
39.1% (338)
By Period
Cizikas
Elias
P1
57.0%
39.0%
P2
51.0%
35.4%
P3
48.7%
44.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |