Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 26-19 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Cizikas
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
26
(45 meetings)
19
26
Cizikas
Stastny
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
18
Cizikas
Stastny
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
2
Cizikas
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Cizikas
Stastny
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stastny
Home
53.7% (5,498)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Cizikas
Stastny
P1
53.0%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |