Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Stastny 54.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 56.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Cizikas
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Stastny
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Cizikas
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Cizikas
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
53.6% (859)
+1.6%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
59.9% (202)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
55.1% (78)
-6.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Cizikas shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stastny
Home
55.5% (353)
56.9% (596)
Away
51.3% (335)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Cizikas
Stastny
P1
53.4%
53.9%
P2
51.4%
56.2%
P3
55.8%
54.4%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |