Casey Cizikas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Casey Cizikas holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Cizikas 53.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Cizikas 51.2%
Defensive zone Cizikas 76.1%
Neutral zone Cizikas 68.4%
Result Casey Cizikas favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Cizikas Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 0 (1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas Nugent-Hopkins
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
47.6% (231)
+6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
83.3% (12)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
33.3% (21)
+14.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +16.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.3% (270)
51.2% (164)
Away
54.8% (299)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.2%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
46.2%
P3
49.5%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%
61.5%
54.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
48.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 15, 2026 3 17:24 Defensive Casey Cizikas