Casey Cizikas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 85.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Cizikas 5-0 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
0
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
48.3% (633)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
64.6% (48)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
43.0% (86)
+5.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Cizikas shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.1% (448)
52.0% (419)
Away
51.0% (443)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.7%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
45.9%
P3
54.5%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |