Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Helenius 47.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 70.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 63.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Cizikas
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Helenius
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Cizikas
Helenius
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
46.8% (201)
+7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
25.0% (4)
+22.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Helenius is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Helenius
Home
53.3% (270)
48.0% (98)
Away
54.8% (299)
44.4% (108)
By Period
Cizikas
Helenius
P1
57.2%
51.9%
P2
56.3%
37.9%
P3
49.5%
47.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |