Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Wright 41.4% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 77.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 97.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 94.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Cizikas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Cizikas
Wright
Last 8: Cizikas 7-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Cizikas
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
39.5% (453)
+14.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
42.4% (59)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
0.0% (1)
+47.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Wright
Home
53.3% (270)
39.5% (286)
Away
54.8% (299)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Cizikas
Wright
P1
57.2%
39.9%
P2
56.3%
37.1%
P3
49.5%
42.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Shane Wright |