Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Oshie 48.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 92.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 69.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Cizikas
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cizikas
Oshie
Last 7: Cizikas 2-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
5
Cizikas
Oshie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
43.1% (58)
+11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.3% (143)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
40.0% (10)
+8.5%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Cizikas is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Oshie is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Oshie
Home
55.1% (448)
51.8% (110)
Away
51.0% (443)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Cizikas
Oshie
P1
51.7%
47.7%
P2
53.1%
46.5%
P3
54.5%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |