Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Oshie 50.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 86.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Cizikas
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cizikas
Oshie
Last 8: Cizikas 4-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Cizikas
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
51.7% (58)
+3.5%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
49.1% (169)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
54.5% (11)
-5.5%
On power play, Oshie has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Cizikas is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Cizikas shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Oshie
Home
55.5% (353)
51.3% (113)
Away
51.3% (335)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Cizikas
Oshie
P1
53.4%
53.8%
P2
51.4%
47.5%
P3
55.8%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |