Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Sestito 47.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 70.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 66.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Cizikas
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cizikas
Sestito
Last 9: Cizikas 5-4 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
2
Cizikas
Sestito
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Sestito
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
47.6% (84)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
0.0% (1)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
38.1% (21)
+11.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Sestito is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Sestito
Home
56.5% (446)
54.4% (68)
Away
47.4% (409)
28.9% (38)
By Period
Cizikas
Sestito
P1
57.0%
42.1%
P2
51.0%
36.8%
P3
48.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
32.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |