Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Novak 43.4% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 75.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 94.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Cizikas
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Novak
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
41.4% (379)
+13.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
46.9% (32)
+53.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Novak
Home
53.3% (270)
42.6% (195)
Away
54.8% (299)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Cizikas
Novak
P1
57.2%
42.4%
P2
56.3%
39.2%
P3
49.5%
44.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |