Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 48.5% vs Mitchell 47.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Cizikas
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Mitchell
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Cizikas
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (775)
35.3% (17)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (206)
42.9% (14)
-5.5%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Cizikas is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Cizikas shoots left. Mitchell is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Mitchell
Home
52.7% (490)
33.3% (18)
Away
44.3% (521)
46.2% (13)
By Period
Cizikas
Mitchell
P1
46.6%
43.8%
P2
47.5%
33.3%
P3
51.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
48.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |