Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 67.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 59.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Cizikas
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
20
(37 meetings)
17
20
Cizikas
Smith
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
10
Cizikas
Smith
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
6
Cizikas
Smith
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Cizikas
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.8%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
51.2% (342)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
45.3% (985)
-0.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Smith
Home
53.7% (5,498)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Cizikas
Smith
P1
53.0%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |