Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.0% vs Smith 51.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 51.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Cizikas
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Cizikas
Smith
Last 10: Cizikas 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Cizikas
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Cizikas
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Cizikas
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (750)
53.6% (550)
-2.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
53.5% (71)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (199)
43.5% (108)
-1.3%
On power play, Smith has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Cizikas is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Cizikas shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Smith
Home
48.1% (466)
56.5% (352)
Away
49.7% (493)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Cizikas
Smith
P1
51.5%
52.0%
P2
46.5%
51.5%
P3
49.3%
52.2%
OT
20.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Zack Smith |