Casey Mittelstadt vs Cedric Paquette
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.7% vs Paquette 50.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 53.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 57.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Mittelstadt
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Mittelstadt
Paquette
Last 6: Mittelstadt 1-5 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Mittelstadt
Paquette
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
3
Mittelstadt
Paquette
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Mittelstadt
Paquette
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (166)
51.2% (529)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
58.8% (17)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.7% (75)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Paquette is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Paquette
Home
44.9% (78)
51.9% (339)
Away
47.7% (107)
49.6% (282)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Paquette
P1
58.5%
52.7%
P2
38.5%
53.1%
P3
41.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.5%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |