Scouting Report
Colby Cave holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cave shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Cave 50.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.4%
Defensive zone
Cave 90.6%
Neutral zone
Cave 69.8%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Mittelstadt
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Mittelstadt
Cave
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Cave
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
0
1
Mittelstadt
Cave
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
3
Mittelstadt
Cave
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
50.8% (356)
-11.7%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
36.4% (11)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.9% (32)
-46.9%
On penalty kill, Cave has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Mittelstadt is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (326).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Cave
Home
43.2% (280)
46.7% (184)
Away
35.9% (256)
53.0% (215)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Cave
P1
41.8%
45.3%
P2
37.6%
51.9%
P3
39.6%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |