Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Eichel 48.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 51.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Eichel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Mittelstadt
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
47.7% (858)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.6% (63)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.8% (87)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Home
59.3% (91)
47.7% (509)
Away
42.5% (80)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Eichel
P1
48.8%
49.5%
P2
49.1%
48.5%
P3
56.7%
46.8%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |