Casey Mittelstadt vs Joe Thornton

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 47.7% vs Thornton 49.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 61.8%
Defensive zone Mittelstadt 57.1%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 57.7%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Mittelstadt Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 7 (8 meetings)
1
7
Mittelstadt Thornton
Last 8: Mittelstadt 1-7 Thornton

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Mittelstadt Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
5
Mittelstadt Thornton
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (166)
48.9% (583)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
52.5% (59)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +25.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thornton
Home
44.9% (78)
51.6% (341)
Away
47.7% (107)
47.0% (313)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thornton
P1
58.5%
53.9%
P2
38.5%
46.9%
P3
41.8%
47.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
46.5%
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
49.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 22, 2019 3 01:25 Offensive Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019 1 17:57 Neutral Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019 1 15:23 Neutral Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019 1 04:37 Neutral Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019 1 01:17 Neutral Joe Thornton
Oct 19, 2019 1 12:10 Neutral Joe Thornton
Oct 19, 2019 1 08:21 Offensive Joe Thornton
Oct 19, 2019 1 04:52 Defensive Casey Mittelstadt