Casey Mittelstadt vs Oliver Kapanen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 51.8%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 56.6%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 59.9%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Mittelstadt
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
46.5% (527)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.8% (42)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.5% (38)
+60.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kapanen
Home
58.7% (92)
47.0% (315)
Away
42.0% (81)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kapanen
P1
47.7%
41.6%
P2
48.2%
50.7%
P3
56.7%
47.6%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |