Casey Mittelstadt vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 75.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Last 7: Mittelstadt 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Mittelstadt
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
54.6% (10,616)
-9.6%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
52.9% (1,119)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Home
46.8% (2,314)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stastny
P1
46.7%
56.3%
P2
46.2%
55.4%
P3
44.0%
53.5%
OT
38.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |