Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Greig 51.2% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 72.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 51.1%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Mittelstadt
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
50.5% (275)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
69.6% (23)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.2% (65)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Greig
Home
60.7% (89)
50.2% (209)
Away
43.1% (65)
53.2% (154)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Greig
P1
46.3%
43.9%
P2
52.9%
60.2%
P3
58.6%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Greig
48.0%▬
48.0%
51.5%