Casey Mittelstadt vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 53.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
57.8% (626)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
63.6% (151)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (141)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
Home
59.3% (91)
54.4% (390)
Away
42.5% (80)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Trocheck
P1
48.8%
56.4%
P2
49.1%
58.7%
P3
56.7%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |