Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Paquette 47.4% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 84.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 80.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Jenner
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
Paquette
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Paquette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Paquette
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Paquette
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
40.6% (64)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
63.6% (11)
-12.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Jenner shoots left. Paquette is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Jenner
Paquette
Home
57.8% (249)
41.7% (48)
Away
52.9% (297)
48.1% (27)
By Period
Jenner
Paquette
P1
51.8%
30.8%
P2
58.7%
60.0%
P3
56.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |