Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Coyle 51.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 61.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 63.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 61.6%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Paquette
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Paquette
Coyle
Last 8: Paquette 3-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
3
Paquette
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paquette
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
53.3% (390)
-6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
48.5% (33)
-48.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (23)
43.2% (37)
+13.3%
On power play, Coyle has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Paquette is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Paquette shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Paquette
Coyle
Home
50.2% (233)
49.5% (210)
Away
44.0% (266)
54.4% (250)
By Period
Paquette
Coyle
P1
42.0%
53.3%
P2
47.6%
48.0%
P3
51.6%
55.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |