Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Coyle 47.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 57.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 74.5%
Neutral zone
Paquette 60.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Paquette
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paquette
Coyle
Last 6: Paquette 4-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Paquette
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
46.6% (562)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
50.7% (69)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
42.6% (68)
+4.1%
On power play, Paquette has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Paquette
Coyle
Home
51.9% (339)
44.3% (332)
Away
49.6% (282)
48.8% (367)
By Period
Paquette
Coyle
P1
52.7%
47.5%
P2
53.1%
47.5%
P3
47.1%
45.7%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |