Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Paquette wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kreider shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Kreider 46.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 50.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 89.6%
Neutral zone
Paquette 70.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Paquette
Kreider
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Kreider
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Kreider
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
1
Paquette
Kreider
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kreider
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
43.2% (111)
+8.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
40.0% (10)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
50.0% (2)
-3.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kreider shoots left. Paquette is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Paquette shoots left. Kreider is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kreider
Home
51.9% (339)
48.6% (70)
Away
49.6% (282)
35.8% (53)
By Period
Paquette
Kreider
P1
52.7%
36.8%
P2
53.1%
42.9%
P3
47.1%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |