Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Tierney 50.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 55.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Paquette
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Paquette
Tierney
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
3
Paquette
Tierney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
4
Paquette
Tierney
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
3
Paquette
Tierney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
52.1% (844)
+2.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.7% (75)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
42.7% (124)
-2.5%
On power play, Paquette has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Paquette
Tierney
Home
53.3% (428)
51.2% (521)
Away
51.8% (340)
50.6% (522)
By Period
Paquette
Tierney
P1
54.4%
49.3%
P2
53.0%
50.4%
P3
50.6%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |