Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Lazar 45.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 59.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 75.7%
Neutral zone
Paquette 61.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Paquette
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Lazar
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
44.3% (341)
+8.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
46.2% (26)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
29.4% (17)
+7.4%
On even strength, Paquette has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Paquette is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Paquette shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Paquette
Lazar
Home
52.1% (167)
45.0% (202)
Away
46.6% (116)
42.3% (182)
By Period
Paquette
Lazar
P1
48.8%
45.5%
P2
51.0%
43.0%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |