Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Krejci 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 82.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 60.8%
Neutral zone
Krejci 57.5%
Result
David Krejci favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Paquette
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Krejci
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
4
Paquette
Krejci
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Krejci
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
48.0% (999)
+6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
54.0% (63)
+46.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
48.5% (33)
-8.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Krejci is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Paquette
Krejci
Home
53.3% (428)
50.4% (570)
Away
51.8% (340)
46.3% (525)
By Period
Paquette
Krejci
P1
54.4%
48.2%
P2
53.0%
48.2%
P3
50.6%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Krejci |